A termékenység térbelisége Magyarországon, 2021
Spatial analysis of the total fertility rate in Hungary, 2021

Summary/Abstract: The study undertakes a spatial analysis of the total fertility rate in Hungary. The authors examine the dynamics of the in-dicator, its basic spatial distribution, and the differences between the periods. They show the districts where the total fertility rate significantly differs from the values of the neighbouring regions. Theoretically, the fertility data of each district should be similar to the values of the neighbouring districts – based on Waldo Tobler's (1970) „First Law of Ge-ography”. Where this is not the case, the most important fault lines can be ob-served. The analysis, presents the spatial pattern determined by the total fertility rate using two different spatial statistical methods. Finally, with the help of a spa-tial econometric model, the authors ex-plain the spatial distribution of the total fertility rate, and present findings that are perhaps worthy of consideration.

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