Прогнозирование демографического развития России и Дагестана
Forecasting the demographic development of Russia and Dagestan
Author(s): Èlʹdarov Èlʹdar MagomedovichSubject(s): Social Sciences, Geography, Regional studies, Human Geography, Regional Geography, Policy, planning, forecast and speculation, Demography and human biology
Published by: Географски факултет, Универзитет у Београду
Keywords: Russia;Dagestan;forecasting;inertial and target approaches;fertility;mortality;migration;scenarios of demographic development;
Summary/Abstract: Methodological approaches and results of demographic forecasting of population development in Russia and its southern region, the Republic of Dagestan, are discussed. According to the conclusions of the forecast, the level of natural growth of the Dagestani population, even with favorable economic trends of the republic's development in the medium and long term, will not be significant. The results of the forecast can be used for scientific substantiation of the main directions of the demographic policy and the strategy of social and economic development of Dagestan.
Journal: Demografija
- Issue Year: 2011
- Issue No: 8
- Page Range: 27-41
- Page Count: 15
- Language: Russian