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Unemployment Hysteresis in the Czech Republic
Unemployment Hysteresis in the Czech Republic

Author(s): Jakub Bechný
Subject(s): Social Sciences, Economy
Published by: Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze
Keywords: hysteresis; NAIRU; Phillips curve; state-space models; unemployment

Summary/Abstract: This paper analyses the unemployment hysteresis in the Czech Republic on data from 1999 to 2016. The hysteresis is modelled by allowing for the impact of cyclical unemployment on the nonaccelerating inflation rate of unemployment. Models are estimated using the Bayesian approach and provide robust evidence in favour of the hysteresis. The estimates imply that in response to an increase in the cyclical unemployment of 1 percentage point, the non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment increases by 0.18 percentage points.

  • Issue Year: 28/2019
  • Issue No: 5
  • Page Range: 532-546
  • Page Count: 15
  • Language: English
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