Challenges for intelligence in the MAD 2.0 era Cover Image

Provocări pentru intelligence în epoca MAD 2.0
Challenges for intelligence in the MAD 2.0 era

Author(s): Iuliana-Adriana Dumitrache
Subject(s): Security and defense, Military policy, Health and medicine and law, Geopolitics
Published by: INFOSFERA - Revista de studii de securitate si Informații pentru Apărare
Keywords: Massive Acts of Disruption; Cynefin; Pandemics; intelligence; HUMINT; analysis; forecast; resilience;

Summary/Abstract: The COVID pandemic – a game changer - came on top of the acceleration age, which is already abundant in massive acts of discontinuity. Therefore, approaching the security issues apart from the safety issues (which includes the civil, social, economic sphere) might be an inappropriate endeavor for these times we live. The article points out the effects the Intelligence Services has felt within the last months, directly or non-directly. Another topic is that Pandemic brought in new sensitive issues, therefore the intelligence institutions should re-direct their attention towards these new subjects of interest. Thus, due to a vast complexity of information, to an increasing, real-time access to it, and also to the changing vectors, the analyst may feel the difficulty of the high uncertainty and unpredictability of the situations. The Cynefin concept helps us be aware of their complexity. Further on, the plead for prospective, prediction analysis (both as products and as an ongoing form of thinking) is justified by the decision-makers` need of having on hand the most probable materials to support their decisions.

  • Issue Year: XIII/2021
  • Issue No: 4
  • Page Range: 17-26
  • Page Count: 10
  • Language: Romanian