The Generational Cycles of Simon Kuznets in Bulgaria Cover Image

Генерационните цикли на Симон Кузнец в България
The Generational Cycles of Simon Kuznets in Bulgaria

Author(s): Georgi Naidenov, Kaloyan Valentinov Haralampiev
Subject(s): Social Sciences, Sociology, Demography and human biology, Economic development
Published by: ЮГОЗАПАДЕН УНИВЕРСИТЕТ »НЕОФИТ РИЛСКИ«
Keywords: Simon Kuznets' generation cycle; extermination of the new working-active generation; demographic social and economic indicators; the US military budget

Summary/Abstract: It is considered to what extent the probability of extermination of the new working-active generation, expressed in the authors' research in 2015, was realized in the period of the descending phase of the generation cycle of Simon Kuznets in the period 2008-2020. For this purpose, three indicators are studied – demographic, social, and economical. The thesis is that the extermination will most likely occur in 2035-2043 when risk factors are superimposed both from the descending phase of the next generation cycle of Simon Kuznets and from the ascending phase of the US military budget.

  • Issue Year: 12/2022
  • Issue No: 3
  • Page Range: 319-345
  • Page Count: 27
  • Language: Bulgarian
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