Światowe przywództwo USA i pozycja Europy Wschodniej
U.S. global leadership and position of Eastern Europe

Summary/Abstract: The object of the study is an analysis of the economic grounds of Pax Americana in the perspective of the next 10-20 years and prediction of the future place of Eastern Europe in the constellation of the USA’s interests. The first part of the article determines the factors of geopolitical power of particular countries on grounds of a network and structural analysis. The crucial factors of geopolitical power include wealth (total and per capita), production of leading goods and innovativeness. The next part contains a comparative analysis of Pax Britannica and Pax Americana in order to establish a gradation of those factors. It appears that domination in the production of leading goods is the crucial factor. Analysis of the contribution of various countries to the development of a ‘‘new economy’’ shows that around 2020 the USA will still be the most important power of the western world. The place of Eastern Europe in Pax Americana will be defined by its position in the global strategy of the USA, weak links of the region with the USA’s national interest and the state of ‘‘partnership in leadership’’ relations between the USA and Germany. Fluctuations of the energy market will make the American elite discuss its regulations which can mark the beginning of a new different outlook also regarding other sectors of a global economy.

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