THE EFFECT OF MARKET SHOCKS ON THE VOLATILITY OF CORN PRICE Cover Image

THE EFFECT OF MARKET SHOCKS ON THE VOLATILITY OF CORN PRICE
THE EFFECT OF MARKET SHOCKS ON THE VOLATILITY OF CORN PRICE

Author(s): DEBORAH BRIDGES, Frank TENKORANG, GREG NIES
Subject(s): Agriculture, Health and medicine and law, Financial Markets
Published by: Editura Universităţii »Alexandru Ioan Cuza« din Iaşi
Keywords: Ethanol; Price volatility; COVID-19; ARCH; GARCH; Corn;

Summary/Abstract: The volatility of agricultural markets makes risk management for producers a challenge. Market shocks, such as the increased demand for corn-based ethanol in the mid-2000s and the recent COVID-19 disruption, only exacerbate the problem. The paper investigates the impact of these two shocks on corn price volatility using futures commodity prices. ARCH/GARCH estimations are compared for the ethanol pre-expansion and expansion periods and pre-COVID-19 shutdown and COVID-19 shutdown periods. The results indicate a high level of price volatility due to the shocks, thus worsening corn producers' price risk situation.

  • Issue Year: 2023
  • Issue No: 31
  • Page Range: 9-18
  • Page Count: 10
  • Language: English
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