ANALYSIS OF PUBLIC DEBT FROM THE PERSPECTIVE OF MULTICULTURAL FACTORS Cover Image

ANALYSIS OF PUBLIC DEBT FROM THE PERSPECTIVE OF MULTICULTURAL FACTORS
ANALYSIS OF PUBLIC DEBT FROM THE PERSPECTIVE OF MULTICULTURAL FACTORS

Author(s): Alin Vasile Străchinaru, Adelina-Andreea Siriteanu, Erika-Maria Doacă
Subject(s): Business Economy / Management, Government/Political systems, Health and medicine and law, Economic development
Published by: Editura Universităţii »Alexandru Ioan Cuza« din Iaşi
Keywords: economic growth; public debt; V.A.R. (Autoregression Vector Model); Multiple Regression;

Summary/Abstract: Nowadays, the issue of public debt is an intensely debated topic, but which still requires special attention. The public debt/gross domestic product ratio in the field where it is essential in terms of sustainable research. In this sense, we direct our attention to the Latin countries within the European Union: Portugal, Spain, France, Belgium, Italy, Romania. I have chosen the 2008 - 2022 interval as the analysis paper, which captures the major events that took place at the European level (the global economic crisis, the COVID-19 pandemic, armed conflicts), which affected the population of these countries. and the environment. Business. The methodological framework aims to use both a V.A.R. (Autoregression Vector Model) to establish the link between public debt and G.D.P. as well as multivariate regression. Autoregression Vector Model results, the analysis reveals that the evolution of the analyzed indicator (public debt) is explained, more by its own variation, approx. 90% and only 10% of the G.D.P. variation. More significant in the first three periods, following that after this activity the effect is constant. And to test the regression analysis we will introduce in this study as independent variables, current account, direct investment, gross domestic product, housing price index, inflation, investment, and unemployment.

  • Issue Year: 2023
  • Issue No: 32
  • Page Range: 23-54
  • Page Count: 32
  • Language: English