Understanding the Roots of the Russian-Ukrainian Conflict: Causes, Course, and Future Trajectories
Understanding the Roots of the Russian-Ukrainian Conflict: Causes, Course, and Future Trajectories

Summary/Abstract: This study delves into the multifaceted dynamics of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, exploring its origins, geopolitical underpinnings, military implications, and global ramifications. Utilizing a comprehensive analysis of scholarly articles, governmental treaties, news reports, and military strength rankings, the research outlines the interplay between geopolitical interests, historical ties, religious affiliations, and military strategies that have shaped the conflict’s trajectory. The methodology encompasses an extensive review of primary and secondary sources to elucidate the complex nature of the conflict, aiming to provide a holistic understanding of the crisis. The study highlights the significance of nuclear disarmament treaties, religious tensions, military capabilities, and international alliances in shaping the ongoing war and its broader implications. This academic study aims to comprehensively analyze the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, investigating historical events, geopolitical factors, and military dynamics. The study endeavors to provide a multifaceted understanding of this complex issue and contribute valuable insights for policymakers, scholars, and practitioners involved in navigating and resolving the crisis. Research Questions: – Why did Ukraine relinquish its nuclear arsenal in the Budapest Treaty of 1994? – What were the religious underpinnings influencing the Russian-Ukrainian confrontation? – How did geopolitical factors contribute to the lead-up to the Russian invasion of Ukraine? – What were the indicators of Russian determination to employ military force against Ukraine? – What are the ongoing dynamics and implications of the war of attrition in Ukraine? Hypotheses/Theses: Hypothesis 1: Ukraine’s decision to abandon its nuclear arsenal under the Budapest Treaty was influenced by assurances of territorial sovereignty, despite underlying skepticism about enforceability. Thesis 1: Religious identities, particularly Orthodox Christianity, have historically shaped and influenced the confrontational dynamics between Russia and Ukraine. Thesis 2: Geopolitical pressures and strategic interests, both regional and global, significantly contributed to the prelude to the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Hypothesis 2: Indicators such as military build-up, diplomatic maneuverings, and geopolitical motivations signaled Russia’s intent to escalate the conflict against Ukraine. Thesis 3: The ongoing war of attrition in Ukraine involves asymmetrical warfare, humanitarian challenges, and extensive regional and global implications, impacting the course of the conflict. These hypotheses and theses guide the study’s exploration of the multifaceted nature of the RussianUkrainian conflict, aiming to provide comprehensive insights into its historical, geopolitical, and military dimensions.

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