RUSSIA - BETWEEN PREDICTABLE AND SURPRISING -
RUSSIA - BETWEEN PREDICTABLE AND SURPRISING -
Author(s): Vasile RomanContributor(s): Diana Cristiana Lupu (Translator)
Subject(s): Government/Political systems, Security and defense, Military policy, Political behavior, Globalization, Geopolitics
Published by: Centrul tehnic-editorial al armatei
Keywords: Copenhagen School; Heartland; globalisation; Maskirovka; strategy;
Summary/Abstract: Based on old and recent historical events, the author intends to find some ways to predict what Russia will do, in connection with the actions it currently conducts near its borders or beyond. Among the assumptions made in this context, the following can be mentioned: Russia will seek to reinforce the areas that ensure access to the sea; it will also seek to divide Europe (at least in terms of the union decision) because it has found in history that it is possible and beneficial; it will maintain the frozen conflicts in Ukraine, Moldova and Georgia on the assumption (otherwise clearly defined by any negotiation for membership) that none of these countries will join NATO or the EU if peace treaties with neighbouring countries are not signed. In conclusion, it is shown that Russia’s actions are not new in the world history, but they surprise us because they come from the Russian Federation, which we otherwise see through the eyes of democracy.
Journal: Romanian Military Thinking
- Issue Year: 2015
- Issue No: 4
- Page Range: 125-137
- Page Count: 13
- Language: English
