DVA LICA PANDEMIJE – TRENDOVI NASILJA U PORODICI TOKOM I POSLIJE COVID-19
TWO FACES OF PANDEMIC – TRENDS OF DOMESTIC VIOLENCE DURING AND AFTER COVID-19

Summary/Abstract: In the Republic of Srpska, in recent years, there has been a rapid increase in reported cases of domestic violence. According to the data from the Ministry of Internal Affairs of the Republic of Srpska, during the pandemic caused by the coronavirus (COVID-19) that lasted from March 2020 to May 2023, the number of cases of domestic violence within families and communities doubled compared to seven years earlier. Regression analysis of interrupted time series shows that the sudden increase in domestic violence, specifically 85.9% of the changes in the dependent variable, is explained by the pandemic. Predictions for 2024 and 2025, based on the regression model, show that the frequency of domestic violence does not decrease, but also does not exceed the level reached in2023. Perpetrators of domestic violence are mostly male spouses. In more than half of the cases, according to the data from the Ministry of Internal Affairs of the Republic of Srpska, there is a moderate risk of new violence occurring. The increasing domestic violence is a result of disrupted values, and due to its complexity and harmful consequences, it represents a serious social problem. Recognizing perpetrators and the violent acts they commit, as well as challenging prejudices regarding violent behavior, is the first step in prevention, whether it involves adults or children, victims of domestic violence.

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