The Dichotomous Nature of Silver in the 21st Century
The Dichotomous Nature of Silver in the 21st Century

Summary/Abstract: Theoretical background: Silver has a great importance in the real economy, i.e. in photography, medicine, electrical, electronic and chemical industry. The growing importance of renewable energy sources and the development of solar panels, accumulators and batteries means that the role of silver is significantly strengthened. At the same time, it is also used as an investment asset providing variety in portfolios, on numerous occasions being a cheaper substitute for gold. Researchers are studying connections between those two resources and providing different perspectives on their future based on real economy and the financial market.Purpose of the article: The purpose of this article is to assess the current role of silver in the economy and answer the question of its investment prospective.Research methods: The research methods include elements of descriptive statistics and Pearson’s linear correlation between the prices of silver, gold and copper of the EUR/USD exchange rate and the Dollar Index. The research period is from 2000 to 2023. The analyzed data are daily. A measure of the amount of money in circulation in the United States is the M2 index, which includes cash in circulation and deposits. The inflation will be shown by the Consumer Price Index. The research method is also critical analysis of the subject literature.Main findings: We found that the change in the price of silver is strongly dependent on the USD, and specifically on its supply. A significant increase in the price of silver in the analysed period is related to the ongoing process of quantitative easing and financialization, understood as a growing volume of futures contracts. The occurrence of silver and copper in nature makes them dependent on each other, not only in determining prices, but also currently constitutes a barometer of industrial development. Thanks to the growing demand from industry, shortages of silver can result in serious consequences for production, for which reason they may decide to aggressively improve metal recycling efficiency or hoarding supply, which might push prices further up. However, investment use will not disappear due to its anti-inflation characteristics and may cause an increase in demand among investors who see gold as too expensive.

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