Evaluating the Nonlinear Population-Economic Growth Nexus in MENA Countries Cover Image

Evaluating the Nonlinear Population-Economic Growth Nexus in MENA Countries
Evaluating the Nonlinear Population-Economic Growth Nexus in MENA Countries

Author(s): Ismail Mohamed BENGANA, Bosede Ngozi Adeleye, Abdelaziz Abdelkhader BOUKHELKHAL, Victoria ISIOMA OKAFOR, Abdulah Alnefai HAMOUD, Eltahir Ibrahim Elnour Salim
Subject(s): Economic development, Financial Markets, Public Finances, Socio-Economic Research
Published by: Transnational Press London
Keywords: Economic Growth; Population Growth; MENA; Nonlinear;

Summary/Abstract: The relation between population growth and economic growth is a complex one, and the historical quantitative evidence is ambiguous. This study contributes to the population-economic growth literature by interrogating whether the relationship is monotonic or if a turning point exists. Using panel data on a sample of 19 MENA countries from 1965 to 2018 and deploying the PSCE and FGLS techniques, the results reveal inter alia: (1) a U-shaped relation exists; (2) unemployment and financial development are negative predictors of economic growth; and (3) trade and inflation rate are positive predictors. Policy recommendations are discussed.

  • Issue Year: 3/2024
  • Issue No: 7
  • Page Range: 372-385
  • Page Count: 14
  • Language: English
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