РОССИЙСКО-УКРАИНСКИЙ ВООРУЖЕННЫЙ КОНФЛИКТ И ПРИДНЕСТРОВЬЕ: ВОЗМОЖНО ЛИ ИЗМЕНЕНИЕ ПОЗИЦИИ РОССИИ?
RUSSIAN-UKRAINIAN ARMED CONFLICT AND TRANSNISTRIA: IS IT POSSIBLE FOR RUSSIA TO CHANGE ITS POSITION?

Summary/Abstract: Transnistria is a pro-Russian region situated in the East of the Republic of Moldova, sandwiched between Chisinau and Ukraine. It is attracted by Moscow, Kyiv, Chisinau, and other capitals. In peacetime, the unhurried negotiation process was quite satisfactory for all interested parties. In the context of the military conflict between Russia and Ukraine, Transnistria becomes a factor that causes concern and sometimes irritation among many politicians and military personnel.In Kyiv, there are some fears that military sabotage in the direction of Odesa is possible from Transnistria. On the other hand, proposals are being made to take control of the region, thereby inflicting a significant military, political, and image defeat on Russia. In Chisinau, plans for the country's reintegration under the new conditions are discussed. But at the same time, they would like to avoid unjustified risks. In Tiraspol, they watch everything that is happening with alarm and apprehension. And they do not lose hope that in the event of an escalation of the situation, Moscow will provide Transnistria with assistance and support.All these circumstances force Russia to keep the situation under constant control to react at the right moment to any changes in the situation around Transnistria.The situation is extremely complicated and at any moment can move from a calm phase to a fast development of events.

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