A térmodellen túl. Másodlagos preferenciák a 2010-es országgyűlési választáson
Beyond the Spatial Model. Secondary Preferences at the 2010 National Elections

Summary/Abstract: The aim of this article is to demonstrate the merits and limits of the Downsian spatial model in the explanation of secondary party preference. Using empirical evidence from the 2010 Hungarian elections the empirical relevance of the left-right scale is investigated. The paper seeks to answer the questions as to what extent does the left-right position of the favourite and the second favourite party influence secondary voter’s choice? What factors can cause the irrelevance of the uni-dimensional scale (e.g. the simultaneous support of two distant parties, such as Jobbik and MSZP or Jobbik and LMP in the Hungarian perspective). In the first part of the study we develop theoretical considerations which may overrule the logic of the uni-dimensional model. In the empirical analysis using survey and aggregate data we conclude that the applicability of the spatial model depends primarily on satisfaction with the government.

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