Nominálny výmenný kurz a swapy úverového zlyhania na vládne dlhopisy: kointegrácia a Grangerova kauzalita
Nominal Exchange Rate and Sovereign Credit Default Swaps: Cointegration and Granger Causality

Summary/Abstract: The paper offers an insight into the relationship between the euro to US dollar nominal exchange rate and the cost of sovereign credit default swaps (CDSs) of five selected countries of the eurozone: Germany and the PIGS countries. The investigation is undertaken under the rationalized belief that the former indicator represents the status of external economic stability of a country and the latter indicator is a descriptor of their internal debt capacity. The results affirm, inter alia, that there were substantial differences in the intensity and quality of the relation between external economic stability and internal debt capacity during the pre-crisis period as opposed to the crisis period.

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