Sparčios sėkmingos pokomunistinės transformacijos ir jos nesėkmės „dėsniai“: daugiareikšmių kintamųjų kokybinė lyginamoji analizė
The “Laws” of rapid successful postcommunist transformation and its failure: multi-value qualitative comparative analysis

Summary/Abstract: The paper advances the deductive typology of the pathways of postcommunist transformation and their comparative qualitative analysis (QCA), using TOSMANA software. The typology is constructed using three politomic (4 values) variables to describe the causal conditions of postcommunist transformation. These variables are orientation of postcommunist transformation, economic mode of the exit from Communism, and political mode of the exit from Communism. Because of the space limits, the multi-value QCA (mvQCA) is performed only for the outcome „liberal democratic capitalism“ after the first decade of postcommunist transformation. Due to this time limit, the regularities derived by mvQCA are qualified as those of „rapid“ transformation. For this analysis, the data set including 29 cases is used. They are are instances of the 17 from the 64 pathways how communism can be transformed into liberal democratic capitalism. To assign the values to cases for the variable „economic mode of the exit from Communism“, the thresholds derived from the EBRD annual „Transition Reports“ were used. To assign the values for the variable „political mode of the exit from Communism“, the data and thresholds from the data set Polity IV (Polity IV Individual Country Regime Trends, 1946–2008) were used.

• Details
• Contents