Bosnien und Herzegowina im Herbst 2010: Wahlen, die nichts ändern? Eine Analyse der bosnischen Parlaments-, Entitäts-, Kantonalund Präsidialwahlen
Bosnia and Herzegovina in Autumn 2010: Elections without Effect? An analysis of the Bosnian parliamentary, entity,cantonal and presidential elections

Summary/Abstract: In October 2010 the Bosnian peoples were asked to vote once again for a new state parliament, entity and cantonal parliaments as well as for the members for the Bosnian Presidency and the President of the Republika Srpska. While these elections resulted in a number of surprise gains by moderate candidates and parties, it is unlikely that the newly elected representatives will be able to overcome the political deadlock that has paralysed Bosnia over the last years. Too deep are the political cleavages between the parties and (more important) between the different ethnic groups and too little has been done by international actors including the European Union to push for reform and a consolidation of the state. While there is some hope that the radical rhetoric will calm down in the future, real progress and reform will need an active engagement of the EU, the USA and of Bosnia’s neighbours as well as its three constituent peoples (Bosniaks, Serbs and Croats). The key for future progress is an agreement on the nature and structure of the common state of Bosnia and Herzegovina among its constituent peoples.

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