Prostorna analiza “crvene” i “crne” Hrvatske: eksplorativna studija
Spatial analysis of “red” and “black” Croatia: an exploratory study

Summary/Abstract: Does the division between “red” and “black” Croatia exist not only in ideological space but in actual geographical space? Which factors are associated with local and regional political behavior and political identities? This article uses spatial analysis to provide answers to these questions. Visual analysis is used as are multivariate models based on the idea of spatial dependence, i.e. spatial clustering and agglomeration. Units of analysis are municipalities and cities in Croatia. The analysis suggests that the most relevant factors are prior political choices of a locale and the political preferences of neighboring locales. Economic and demographic factors are not unimportant but are weaker determinants of the political choices of a county or city. The analysis suggests a high degree of local and regional fortification of political parties. The space for political competition is comparatively open in Slavonia, especially in its northwestern part.

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