Konvencinių ginklų kontroles įtaka rusijos ir nato santykiams
Conventional Arms Control Impact on NATO - Russian Relations

Summary/Abstract: The aim of the article was to explore the Agreement on the Adaptation of the Treaty on Conventional Armed Forces in Europe 1999 (hereinafter referred to as an A-CFE) and its positive/negative implications for the NATO - Russian relations. The A-CFE, considered to be a cornerstone of the European security paving the way to a greater conventional stability on the continent, has not entered into force for political and geo-strategic reasons. Moreover, A-CFE aims at establishing a stable and balanced overall level of conventional armed forces between NATO and Russia in Europe, thus solving NATO enlargement and security dilemmas, the bone of contention between NATO and Russia. The main question the article dealt with was whether the A-CFE could stabilize NATO-Russian relations in the anarchical international system facing the dynamics of balance of power. The article focused on analyzing conventional arms control influence on NATO - Russian interaction; a heavy emphasis was placed on A-CFE functionality to solve security dilemma problems in light of NATO enlargement, hypothetical NATO - Russian conflict, and NATO - Russian level of conventional armed forces in Europe. What's more, a concrete case - the Baltic States possible membership in A-CFE and its influence on NATO - Russian relations - has been analyzed in the context of military power disparities and geo-strategic position of the Eastern Baltic sub-region. Having analyzed it accordingly, the following conclusion has been made: A-CFE Treaty of actual text would not properly stabilize NATO - Russian relations due to the reaction of national units to the on-going redistribution of military power and the dynamic of military balance. If not revised, A-CFE will amount to a "sunset Treaty" while remaining an instrument of political process.

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