Use of statistical tools when monitoring threats to national security
Use of statistical tools when monitoring threats to national security

Summary/Abstract: The article is devoted to assessment of the impact of corruption on economic growth in the context of globalization. The goal of the research is to substantiate the use of statistical methods when assessing the impact of corruption on economic growth. In conditions of Russia’s transition to an innovative path of economic development an urgent task is to increase economic growth. Corruption has a negative impact on economic growth, reducing the efficiency of public investments; as well as on investment attractiveness, scaring off foreign investors. Because of corruption, revenues from taxation reduce; the budget does not receive the necessary funds to finance government expenditures. Ultimately, these negative effects lead to the diminution of economic security. The problem of corruption is high on the list of threats to national security of any state. It is pointed out that the use of matrix method allows assessing the positions of the countries in terms of two factors: the Corruption Perceptions Index and the value of GDP per capita. A statistical estimation of the impact of corruption on economic growth using regression model is presented. The conclusion concerning the necessity of methodology developing for quantification of threats to national security is made.

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