Correcting an Error of Historic Magnitude
Correcting an Error of Historic Magnitude

Why Britain May Be Heading for the EU Exit

Summary/Abstract: Edited version of the article published in the Sidney journal Quandary, April 2016. Is Brexit, the issue on which the British public will shortly vote in a referendum the doomed dream of those who wish to restore British national sovereignty? Or is it the nation’s political destiny? At the time of writing, online polling suggests roughly equal support for the Leave and Remain campaigns, while telephone surveys – which proved to a be more accurate guide to Britain’s 2015 general election outcome than their online counterparts – point to the probability of a vote to remain. Both indicate that with three months to go before the referendum on 23 June many voters still have not reached a firm decision.

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