Fiscal Sustainability in CEE Countries – the Case of the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland
Fiscal Sustainability in CEE Countries – the Case of the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland
Author(s): Joanna Mackiewicz-ŁyziakSubject(s): Economy, National Economy
Published by: Instytut Badań Gospodarczych
Keywords: fiscal sustainability; monetary and fiscal dominance; primary balance; debt; cointegration
Summary/Abstract: The aim of the study is to assess fiscal sustainability in the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland, and to test for existence of fiscal domi-nance in these countries in the context of the fiscal theory of the price level. The empirical study is conducted using unit root tests and co-integration analysis with possible structural breaks. The approach is consistent with so called backward-looking approach for fiscal dominance testing proposed by Bohn (1998). The results suggest that in the Czech Republic and Poland fiscal dominance prevailed in the analyzed period, while in Hungary – monetary dominance. The result for Hungary may be caused, however, by a one-time reduction in debt resulting from changes in pension system.
Journal: Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy
- Issue Year: 10/2015
- Issue No: 2
- Page Range: 53-71
- Page Count: 18
- Language: English