СЦЕНАРИИ ЗА РАЗВИТИЕ НА ЕВРОПЕЙСКАТА ИНТЕГРАЦИЯ И ВЪЗМОЖНИТЕ ИМ ЕФЕКТИ ВЪРХУ БЪЛГАРСКАТА ИКОНОМИКА
SCENARIOS FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE EUROPEAN INTEGRATION AND THEIR POSSIBLE EFFECTS ON THE BULGARIAN ECONOMY

Summary/Abstract: The reality in the European Union makes it necessary to consider various scenarios for the future development of the European integration. The inclusion of the Republic of Bulgaria in the single market makes our country a part of a much larger space, which directly affects the economic processes in the country. Therefore, we need to consider the impact of the possible scenarios for the development of the EU and their effects on the development of the Bulgarian economy. The study aims to develop possible scenarios for the future development of the European integration. The formulated tasks are to analyse the geographical orientation of the EU’s foreign trade relations; to analyse the foreign direct investments in the Republic of Bulgaria and their implications for the economy of the country in the context of the European integration processes; to analyse the trends in the European integration processes and their impact on the Bulgarian economy. It supports the idea that the possible scenarios for the development of the European integration are to be reflected in the national integration policy. The study presents a positive, a realistic and a negative scenarios for the European integration and reflects their potential effects on the economy of the Republic of Bulgaria. The study employs graphical and tabular methods, ABC-analysis, SWOTanalysis.

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