Wartość prognostyczna wyników rekrutacyjnych dla powodzenia w studiowaniu
Predictive validity of admission points from results of the Matura exam. The University of Warsaw example

Summary/Abstract: Since 2005, the results of the Matura exam have been the primary criterion for evaluation of applicants for admission to first cycle studies at university. However, as yet, the exam has not so far been assessed as an indicator for academic success. The main purpose of this paper was to evaluate the predictive validity of admission points, which are a function of the results of the Matura exam. The study is based on administrative data exported from administrative registers of the University of Warsaw. For the vast majority of degree courses, there was virtually no correlation between admission points and academic success. From this it can be inferred at least, that at the University of Warsaw, admission points based on the Matura exam are not a good indicator for future academic success.

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