Direction of Serbian Trade: Gravity Model Based on Pool Data
Direction of Serbian Trade: Gravity Model Based on Pool Data

Summary/Abstract: The objective of this paper is to evaluate the effects of bilateral trade between Serbia and EU countries in the period 2001-2015 on the basis of a gravity model. So far in research papers the gravity model has been used for the evaluation of effects of trade among different countries. The gravity model, which combines the cross-section data and the time-series data, has been estimated to the panel data. Estimated results based on a sample of 28 countries reveal that the economic size of foreign countries, the market size of trading partners (the number of inhabitants), and the geographical distance produce altogether huge effects on Serbia’s total trade and exports. Border and language factors have also been taken into account. The research leaves room for further scientific analyses and provides guidance for trade policy creators in analyses for directions of the Serbian trade. This research is based on complex econometric analyses and a recognised model, and shows that there is considerable room for the growth of bilateral trade between Serbia and EU.

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