Cross Market Dependencies. The Analysys of Selected Investment Strategies
Zależności międzyrynkowe: analiza wybranych strategii inwestycyjnych

Summary/Abstract: The relationship between capital markets is important topic both from a theoretical and practical point of view. This problem is usually considered on the basis of market efficiency theory and ability to predict future price of financial instruments basing on historical data. In this article we verify the hypothesis states the higher susceptibility and predictability of capital markets in emerging economies compared with developed countries against the situation on the world’s largest stock exchanges. The impact of changes on American Stock Exchange (DJIA) and Japanese (NIKKEI) on the German (DAX) as well as Polish (WIG) stock exchange is investigated. Empirical research in the period 2012–2014 includes, among others, correlation, Granger causality analysis and co-integration in order to determine short-term and long-term relationship between individual time series. We proposed 6 investment strategies based on interdependencies between these markets and rated them in terms of effectiveness in predictive ability meaning.

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