Sources of real exchange rates fluctuations EUR/ PLN Cover Image

Źródła fluktuacji realnego efektywnego kursu EUR/ PLN
Sources of real exchange rates fluctuations EUR/ PLN

Author(s): Adam Waszkowski
Subject(s): Economy
Published by: Szkoła Główna Gospodarstwa Wiejskiego w Warszawie
Keywords: real exchange rate; vector autoregression model; forecast error variance decomposition

Summary/Abstract: In the article we've raised the issue of explaining the source of the fluctuation of the Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER) using a equilibrium approach for EUR/PLN example. The starting point was to elaborate a model of vector autoregression and its structural form. The specification of a model have been made based on Clarida and Gali's work. To determine the source of the fluctuation of the real exchange rate we used Forecast Error Variance Decomposition. It resulted that the most important (more than 80%) in explaining the variance of the REER are demand shocks.

  • Issue Year: XII/2011
  • Issue No: 2
  • Page Range: 389-398
  • Page Count: 10
  • Language: Polish
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