Interpretând Date OSINT: ce ne învaţă istoria despre evoluţiile în curs din Marea Chinei de Sud
INTERPRETING OSINT DATA: WHAT HISTORY IS FREELY TEACHING US ABOUT ONGOING EVOLUTIONS IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA
Author(s): Florin DiaconuSubject(s): Social Sciences
Published by: National Institute for Intelligence Studies
Keywords: power status; world power; sea power; World Ocean; strategic confrontation; China; the United States; the Pacific Ocean; regional balance of power; strategically significant routes; freedom of navigat
Summary/Abstract: The text focuses the attention on some major aspects of the ongoing strategically significant events and trends in the East China Sea and South China Sea (trends and events extensively covered by a lot of OSINT data), and evaluates the increasing tensions in these regions of the Pacific Ocean in a way which is deliberately taking into account what history is massively and freely teaching us. As far as the author is concerned, the more and more obvious and ambitious Chinese plans and actions in both seas are a direct and almost unavoidable consequence of a quick and massive evolution (or change) of the power status of China. At this very moment, Beijing is deliberately attempting to reach a more globally influential power status – that of world power, and in such a situation the attention paid by China to the Word Ocean and to the strategically significant routes leading to the open seas is larger than ever before in Modern Times. In a way or another, Chinese actions are nothing else but a renewed version of some well-known episodes in world history – those which have previously led other actors of the international arena to a more globally influential power status, by means of developing naval power and of gaining more free access to the World Ocean. In such a context, the United States is also deliberately trying to protect, according to a strategically legitimate, strong and long national tradition, the complete freedom of navigation, and the stability of the regional balance of power in both seas. Quite clearly, the strategic interests of both China and the U.S. are, in both seas we are speaking about, vastly different ones, and on a well defined collision course.
Journal: Romanian Intelligence Studies Review
- Issue Year: 2016
- Issue No: 15
- Page Range: 7-18
- Page Count: 12
- Language: Romanian