China în 2030: un secol chinezesc sau o eră a „regatelor”combatante
China 2030: a Chinese century or the „kingdoms” at war

Summary/Abstract: Often, academics make a bold claim that the future is expected to somehow parallel with the recent past. Predicting the future is, though, obviously impossible. This paper aims to take a look into the future and see how China, a unique development success story until now, will look in 2030, using scenario building. The process of building future scenarios is based on two main drivers (i) the Chinese economy and (ii) US-China relations, integrated with different combinations of assumptions, trends and other internal or external drivers shaping a country’s ethos. The dilemma comes from the possibility of China becoming the world’s number one economic superpower and challenging US hegemony. How would the future look like under such coordinates?

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