MODIFIED RECURSIVE BAYESIAN ALGORITHM FOR ESTIMATING TIME-VARYING PARAMETERS IN DYNAMIC LINEAR MODELS Cover Image

MODIFIED RECURSIVE BAYESIAN ALGORITHM FOR ESTIMATING TIME-VARYING PARAMETERS IN DYNAMIC LINEAR MODELS
MODIFIED RECURSIVE BAYESIAN ALGORITHM FOR ESTIMATING TIME-VARYING PARAMETERS IN DYNAMIC LINEAR MODELS

Author(s): O. Olawale Awe, Adedayo Adepoju
Subject(s): Economy, National Economy, Sociology, Public Finances
Published by: Główny Urząd Statystyczny
Keywords: discounted variance; dynamic models; granularity range; estimation algorithm

Summary/Abstract: Estimation in Dynamic Linear Models (DLMs) with Fixed Parameters (FPs) has been faced with considerable limitations due to its inability to capture the dynamics of most time-varying phenomena in econometric studies. An attempt to address this limitation resulted in the use of Recursive Bayesian Algorithms (RBAs) which is also affected by increased computational problems in estimating the Evolution Variance (EV) of the time-varying parameters. In this paper, we propose a modified RBA for estimating TVPs in DLMs with reduced computational challenges.

  • Issue Year: 19/2018
  • Issue No: 2
  • Page Range: 239-258
  • Page Count: 20
  • Language: English
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