MODIFIED RECURSIVE BAYESIAN ALGORITHM FOR ESTIMATING TIME-VARYING PARAMETERS IN DYNAMIC LINEAR MODELS
MODIFIED RECURSIVE BAYESIAN ALGORITHM FOR ESTIMATING TIME-VARYING PARAMETERS IN DYNAMIC LINEAR MODELS
Author(s): O. Olawale Awe, Adedayo AdepojuSubject(s): Economy, National Economy, Sociology, Public Finances
Published by: Główny Urząd Statystyczny
Keywords: discounted variance; dynamic models; granularity range; estimation algorithm
Summary/Abstract: Estimation in Dynamic Linear Models (DLMs) with Fixed Parameters (FPs) has been faced with considerable limitations due to its inability to capture the dynamics of most time-varying phenomena in econometric studies. An attempt to address this limitation resulted in the use of Recursive Bayesian Algorithms (RBAs) which is also affected by increased computational problems in estimating the Evolution Variance (EV) of the time-varying parameters. In this paper, we propose a modified RBA for estimating TVPs in DLMs with reduced computational challenges.
Journal: Statistics in Transition. New Series
- Issue Year: 19/2018
- Issue No: 2
- Page Range: 239-258
- Page Count: 20
- Language: English