A Modelling Approach for Forecasting Net Exports of Electricity from Bulgaria
A Modelling Approach for Forecasting Net Exports of Electricity from Bulgaria

Summary/Abstract: The report presents a modelling approach for forecasting Bulgarian net exports of electricity based on an empirical analysis of the factors affecting trade with this specific commodity. A brief overview of the models and approaches for forecasting the production and export of electricity is made and their adequacy is assessed regarding the situation of the electricity market in Bulgaria and the region. On this basis, a modelling approach is foreseen to predict the net exports of electricity by 2035, taking into account the current situation and prospects for the development of the electricity sector in Bulgaria and Europe.

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