PROGNOZIRANJE POTREBNE ELEKTRIČNE ENERGIJE
FORECASTING THE REQUIRED ELECTRICITY

Summary/Abstract: Forecasting of the required electricity is the initial and most important step in both planning development and the needs of exploitation of the distribution network. This implies anticipating the development of energy needs in the future. By analyzing consumption in the past, it is seen that the need for electricity depends on a number of influencing factors, such as: • the trend of gross national income changes • the possibility of using other forms of energy, if it is cheaper, more environmentally friendly, • the level of specific consumption achieved • population standard • natality and others. For this reason, the forecast of the required electricity needs to be carried out in several ways, in order to obtain results that facilitate further analysis. The aim of the paper is to show a methodological approach to the forecasting of the required electricity.

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