PROCJENE UTJECAJA SCENARIJA NISKOUGLJIČNOG RAZVOJA REPUBLIKE HRVATSKE
IMPACT ASSESSMENT OF THE SCENARIOS FOR LOW-CARBON DEVELOPMENT OF THE REPUBLIC OF CROATIA

Summary/Abstract: Climate-related energy policy research in the Republic of Croatia is most often linked to certain climate-energy planning segments, and there is a lack of cross-sectoral and integrative climate-energy development planning. This paper describes the methodological approach and the assessment of the key impacts that have been estimated in the preparation of technical basis for the Low Carbon Development Strategy of Republic of Croatia until 2030 with a view to 2050. The results showed that by 2030, additional investments would have to be made in the amount of about 1.0 to 1.5% of GDP of the Republic of Croatia. At the same time, savings will on the import of energy, materials and costs for emission units in the EU ETS will compensate around of 65 to 75% of the value of additional investments, and by adding the additional benefits in terms of positive impacts of lower air pollution and opening new jobs the total benefit of low carbon development can surpass the additional costs. Key results are in line with the Impact Assessment accompanying the 2030 Climate and Energy Framework (European Commission, 2014).

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