Küresel Finans Krizi Türkiye Ekonomisine Bulaştı mı?
Has The Turkish Economy Experienced a Contagion Effect From The Global Financial Crisis?
Author(s): Önder Büberkökü, Celal KızıldereSubject(s): Supranational / Global Economy, Transformation Period (1990 - 2010), Financial Markets, Public Finances
Published by: Orhan Sağçolak
Keywords: Global financial crisis; Turkish economy; Contagion; BEKK GARCH model;
Summary/Abstract: This study examines whether the Turkish financial market experienced a contagion effect from the 2007-2008 global financial crisis. Stock, foreign exchange, and interest rate markets are all considered as potential transmission channels. The dynamic daily and weekly time-varying conditional correlations are estimated using the AR(p)-DBEKKGARCH(1,1) and AR(p)-SBEKK-GARCH(1,1) models. Results clearly show that the US financial crisis was transmitted to the Turkish economy through the stock market channel, with no significant contagion effect found between the US and Turkish foreign exchange and interest rate markets. So, when the general structure of the Turkish economy is considered, these results imply that the US financial crisis spread to the Turkish economy through a channel considered to be less harmful than others.
Journal: İşletme Araştırmaları Dergisi
- Issue Year: 10/2018
- Issue No: 4
- Page Range: 1272-1297
- Page Count: 26
- Language: Turkish
