Dynamic Analysis of Jobless Growth in Turkey Cover Image

Türkiye’de İstihdam Yaratmayan Büyüme Olgusunun Dinamik Analizi
Dynamic Analysis of Jobless Growth in Turkey

Author(s): Ezgi Demiral, Abreg S. Celem
Subject(s): Economy, Labor relations, Socio-Economic Research
Published by: Adem Anbar
Keywords: Jobless Growth; Unemployment; Growth; 2008 Global Crisis; VAR Model Analysis;

Summary/Abstract: The indicators of Turkey's economy show that the long-term growth seems not to have provided the desired reduction in the unemployment rate. This indicates that economic growth cannot create sufficient growth in employment, that is known as the jobless growth phenomenon in economics literature. In this study, we examine the dynamic effects of the national income on the unemployment rates in Turkey for the 2005-2015 period. For this purpose, primarily, Perron unit root test was applied to examine the structural breaks in the variables caused by the global crisis in 2008. Subsequently, impulse-response analysis and variance decomposition analysis based on VAR model were applied. As a result of the empirical analysis, it was concluded that the unemployment reduction effect of the growth in national income was only valid in the short term in Turkey.

  • Issue Year: 11/2020
  • Issue No: 1
  • Page Range: 63-76
  • Page Count: 14
  • Language: Turkish
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