HEALTH, AGRICULTURAL EXPENDITURE AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN NIGERIA: ARDL AND ECM APPROACH
HEALTH, AGRICULTURAL EXPENDITURE AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN NIGERIA: ARDL AND ECM APPROACH

Summary/Abstract: This study examines the short run and long relationship between agricultural expenditure, health expenditure and economic growth in Nigeria. This study was motivated due to the lack of sufficient studies regarding this subject matter in recent times. Consequently, Data were collected from CBN Statistical Bulletin from 1981 to 2016. Relevant pre-estimation tests such as unit root and Bound tests were carried out because all the study variables were integrated of order zero and one. Estimated results from ARDL and ECM models established the existence of a short-run and long-run relationship between the variables of interest in Nigeria. While the error correction model reveals that about 19 percent of total disequilibrium due to external shock in the previous year is corrected in the current year. Therefore, it will take about five (5) years for the system to adjust back to its long-run equilibrium path. Results further showed that there is a significant positive relationship between agricultural expenditure and economic growth in Nigeria. However, there is a significant negative relationship between health expenditure and economic growth in the long run. Finally, policymakers in Nigeria should allocate substantial budget towards health and agricultural sectors in Nigeria.

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