Early warning signals of military coups Cover Image

Indikátory a systémy včasného varování před vojenským pučem
Early warning signals of military coups

A Case Study of Montenegro

Author(s): Josef Kraus
Subject(s): Politics / Political Sciences, Social Sciences
Published by: Univerzita obrany
Keywords: Early Warning System;Security Indicators;Military Coup;Montenegro;Violence;Prediction;

Summary/Abstract: The following paper focuses on the identification of basic early warning signals of military coups. The primary purpose is to use a theoretical framework of coups and create a list of factors that increase the probability of upcoming or ongoing military coups. This list will be applied to a case study of Montenegro, which recently experienced an attempt of overthrowing its government.

  • Issue Year: 20/2020
  • Issue No: 1
  • Page Range: 25-38
  • Page Count: 14
  • Language: English