The impact of temporary migration for demographic perspective in Poland Cover Image

Wpływ czasowych migracji zagranicznych na perspektywy demograficzne Polski
The impact of temporary migration for demographic perspective in Poland

Author(s): Agnieszka Fihel
Subject(s): Demography and human biology, Socio-Economic Research
Published by: Główny Urząd Statystyczny
Keywords: migration; demographic situation; demographic forecasts

Summary/Abstract: The National Population Census 2011 showed that over 2 million of Polish citizens have been temporarily staying abroad for at least 3 months. The aim of analysis is to present an impact of temporary emigration on the present and future demographic situation of our country, especially the change in the population size and number of births, as well as the advancement of aging process in the coming years. The results of the census 2011 indicate that the population losses due to temporary emigration may exceed 10% in the age groups 25-29 and 30-34. The results for 2014—2050 based on the CSO modified forecast including temporary emigration and immigration show a relevant decrease in the number of population at the age of economic activity. The possible return of emigrants could counteract the depopulation of our country, but in the long run will be intensified by the aging of the population.

  • Issue Year: 60/2015
  • Issue No: 07
  • Page Range: 74-89
  • Page Count: 16
  • Language: Polish