Classification and assessment of losses from the armed conflict in Donbas and annexation of Crimea
Classification and assessment of losses from the armed conflict in Donbas and annexation of Crimea

Summary/Abstract: The authors classify and investigate the losses caused by the military conflict in the east of Ukraine and the annexation of Crimea, as well as the approaches to their assessment. The authors studied the results of scientific research, current legislation, and information-analytical materials and came to the conclusion that there are no common standards (approaches) or detailed approaches to loss assessment for different entities (state, individual enterprises, and citizens), and the mechanism of compensation for losses is undeveloped as well. This can cause many problems both for experts in substantiating the volume of damages and for courts in considering relevant cases for losses. The authors considered the damage caused to Ukraine by the military conflict with Russia, which resulted in the annexation of the Crimean peninsula and the occupation of Luhansk and Donetsk regions, and interpreted this damage as assessed consequences of these events and classified them by place and time of manifestation on direct, indirect, complete and general, and by spheres of manifestation of consequences on medico-biological, military-political, socio-economic, external and internal political and ecological ones.To characterize each of these types of damage, the authors have identified certain components that can have quantitative and qualitative forms of expression. Taken into account that the qualitative assessment of the consequences of armed conflict is subjective to some extent and depends on the coverage of expert opinions, the authors focused on those components that can be quantified (in monetary terms). To assess them, in the article there were formed certain groups of indicators that have a quantitative form of expression. At the same time, first of all, the authors take into account indicators that make it possible to assess the direct damage from the armed conflict. The authors, based on the analysis and generalization of the values of these indicators in the dynamics, determine the estimated amount of direct damage caused to Ukraine during the conflict (2014-2019), and give a forecast of its growth if this conflict continues. Also, we propose the option of calculating the lost benefit from the impossibility of using a part of the country’s territory (currently uncontrolled) based on its potential.

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