Prognozy i oceny koniunktury w ankietach GUS
Prognoses and estimations of business cycles in CSO’s surveys

Summary/Abstract: The question, “in which degree the surveyed business cycles test use the conservative principle status quo,” is considered in the paper. The survey concerned construction, commercial and industrial business cycles in general as well as by enterprise size. Three variables were compared between following sectors: sale, general company situation as well as payment capacity. The conformity of the direction, dynamic and conjuncture force was surveyed. Results indicate a diversification of company types. It can be estimated that prognoses are formulated with 50 per cent coefficient of the prognostic conservatism.

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