Kadinların İşgücüne Katılım Oranının Belirleyicileri: Türkiye İçin Yapısal Kırılmalı Zaman Serisi Analizi
Determinant’s of Female’s Labor Force Participation Rate: Time Series Analysis with Structural Break for Turkey

Summary/Abstract: In this study, determinants of women's labor force participation rate in Turkey were investigated during the 1994-2019 data period. For this purpose, inflation rate, female population rate, growth rate and real effective exchange rate index variables were used. With this study, it was aimed to determine the effect of the real effective exchange rate variable on women's labor force participation rate by incorporating it into the econometric model for the first time. Also unlike the studies to date in the analysis stage, Narayan-Popp (2010) unit root test and Maki (2012) cointegration test which considering structural break are by using together was investigated the long-term relationships. This is constitutes another originality of the article. Since it is determined that the variables included in the analysis movement together in the long-term, the long-term cointegration coefficients were obtained by the FMOLS method. According to the results of the analysis, the 1% increase in the inflation rate, the female population rate and the in growth rate, increases the female labor force participation rate by 0.06%, 40.18%, and 0.23%, respectively. The 1% increase in the real effective exchange rate index reduces the female labor force participation rate by 0.30%.

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