FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENTS, EXPORTS AND ECONOMIC GROWTH: PANEL ARDL AND CAUSALITY ANALYSIS FOR E7 COUNTRIES
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENTS, EXPORTS AND ECONOMIC GROWTH: PANEL ARDL AND CAUSALITY ANALYSIS FOR E7 COUNTRIES

Summary/Abstract: The aim of the study is the relationship between foreign direct investments, exports and economic growth. The analysis of this study included E7 (Emerging 7) the so-called developing countries are Turkey, Mexico, China, India, Brazil, Russia and Indonesia in the analysis in this context. This study covered the period of 1992-2018. Pesaran (2007) panel unit root test was used for the analysis of the series stationary. Panel ARDL approach, which allows short and long term relationship, is used for series with different levels of stationary. According to the results of the error correction model established for all panel, any shock in the gross domestic product equation was adjusted by approximately 0.86 % within the first year. Error correction models were estimated for all units, and error correction terms for all units expect India were obtained as negative and statistically significant. As a result of the panel causality test, one-way causality findings were found between economic growth and exports. Additionally, there was a causality relationship with foreign direct investments and exports.

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