Влияние на нарастването на пенсионната възраст върху трудовите ресурси на България през последните две десетилетия
The Influence of the Rising Statutory Age of Retirement on the Number and Spatial Distribution of Bulgarian Labour Resources during the Last Two Decades

Summary/Abstract: The tendency to deteriorate the demographic situation in Bulgaria in general and regional aspect is a major factor in the formation of a deepening imbalance between labour supply and demand in the national and regional labour markets in the country. Accelerated rates of depopulation, demographic aging and emigration of mostly young people are among the main reasons for the shrinking workforce, which includes primarily economically active people aged between 15 and 64. The deficit between the demand and the increasingly limited supply of labour has already become the most significant obstacle to new investments in the Bulgarian economy. Together with the unfavourable increase in the ratio between employed and unemployed in industry, agriculture and services, this deficit will increasingly limit the prospects for achieving the significant economic growth needed by Bulgaria in order to reduce the gap between the indicators of living standards in the country. and their average levels for the European Union as a whole. The subject of this article is a study of the impact of raising statutory age of retirement in the period 2001-2019 on the number and relative share of the economically active population as a whole and in regional terms - by districts and municipalities. The aim of the study is based on the findings of the analysis of the relationship between these two processes to assess the role of the first and second demographic dividends arising from the relatively high share of the working age population in the total population to limit the impact of demographic crisis on reproduction. of labour resources and gross domestic product growth.

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