NUCLEAR PROLIFERATION AND THE CENTRAL BALANCE: STRUCTURAL SCENARIOS
NUCLEAR PROLIFERATION AND THE CENTRAL BALANCE: STRUCTURAL SCENARIOS

Author(s): Mihai ZODIAN
Subject(s): Politics / Political Sciences, Politics, Social Sciences, Sociology, Government/Political systems, International relations/trade, Security and defense, Military policy, Studies in violence and power, Peace and Conflict Studies
Published by: Carol I National Defence University Publishing House
Keywords: Nuclear weapons; nuclear balance; power transition; deterrence; nuclear strategy; rise of China; prediction;
Summary/Abstract: This paper synthetizes earlier studies and aims to investigate how the nuclear equilibrium between the United States and the Russian Federation may change, because of the process of proliferation. A theoretical perspective combining power transition and rational deterrence theory is used to draw a few scenarios. The main goal is to develop general traits and tendencies, by varying the variable of power distribution and use them to develop a few scenarios.

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