INTEREST RATE ADJUSTMENT AND STOCK MARKET – THE CASE STUDY OF CHINA
INTEREST RATE ADJUSTMENT AND STOCK MARKET – THE CASE STUDY OF CHINA

Author(s): Ning Zeng, Xixi Li
Subject(s): Social Sciences, Economy
Published by: Udruženje ekonomista i menadžera Balkana
Summary/Abstract: This paper examines the impact of interest rate adjustment on the stock market in China. We collect the interest rate adjustment periods from April 21, 1991 to October 24, 2015 since the establishment of the stock market. Through an Error Correction model together with Granger causality, we investigate responses of the stock index to interest rate adjustment. Our findings suggest that there is existing a long-term reverse relationship between interest rate adjustment and stock index. The impact of interest rate adjustment on stock index returns could not be long-term disequilibria, which will be corrected in short-time. Also, the interest rate is the granger cause of the stock price index, while the stock price index is not the granger cause of interest rate.

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