Методи за оценка на риска на инвестиционен проект за изгражданe на фотоволтаична система
Methods for Assessing the Risk of an Investment Project Built on a Photovoltaic System

Author(s): Imrel Nizam
Subject(s): Social Sciences, Economy, Education, Energy and Environmental Studies, Higher Education
Published by: Икономически университет - Варна
Keywords: Risk; Investment projects; Returnability
Summary/Abstract: The report examines risk and the management of risk factors in investment projects, with a focus on constructing a photovoltaic system for electricity generation in Bulgaria. The assessment of investment risk is crucial due to the high uncertainty and the scale of capital investments. The project includes identifying risk factors, quantitative measurement, planning management measures, and monitoring the execution of risk-related activities. Various approaches to risk measurement are introduced, including statistical methods such as variance analysis, which allow for assessing deviations in returns and forecasting future income. The report also explains specific risks associated with photovoltaic projects, such as technological risk (equipment and system selection), risks from weather conditions and the nature of solar radiation, financial risks from fluctuations in component prices, and business risk from market fluctuations. To minimize adverse effects, strategies such as monitoring, pre-negotiation with suppliers, and planning emergency actions are suggested.

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