Scénáře světové politiky 2012–2013
World Politics: Scenarios 2012–2013
Author(s): Tomáš Weiss, Vít Střítecký, Lucia Najšlová, Petr Kratochvíl, Michal Kořan, Nik Hynek, Vladimír Handl, Rudolf Fürst, Jan Eichler, Mats Braun, Vít Beneš
Subject(s): Economic policy, Government/Political systems, International relations/trade, Security and defense, Electoral systems, Political behavior, Politics and society, Comparative politics, EU-Accession / EU-DEvelopment, Fiscal Politics / Budgeting, Geopolitics, Peace and Conflict Studies
Published by: Ústav mezinárodních vztahů
Keywords: Germany; Central Europe; EU; Turkey; Cyprus; China; USA; Iran; Bahrain; Afghanistan; Russia; Elections; Geopolitics;
Summary/Abstract: The document presents a collection of speculative scenarios for world politics in 2012-2013, employing a scenario-building method to enrich foreign policy debate. It discusses the potential impacts of various global and regional developments on the Czech Republic and the EU, including fiscal pacts, the role of Germany in the Eurozone, Central European dynamics, EU relations with Turkey and China, the aftermath of American elections, the Iranian crisis, the situation in Afghanistan, the Asia-Pacific region, and Russian elections. The scenarios are not precise forecasts but internally consistent hypotheses that connect actors with future effects, aiming to capture key dynamics and possible consequences of otherwise conceivable actions.
Series: Scénáře
- Page Count: 42
- Publication Year: 2012
- Language: Czech
- Content File-PDF