Putin’s War, ramifications for China
Putin’s War, ramifications for China

Author(s): J Scott Younger
Subject(s): Supranational / Global Economy, Economic policy, International relations/trade, Peace and Conflict Studies, Russian Aggression against Ukraine
Published by: Mednarodni inštitut za bližnjevzhodne in balkanske študije IFIMES
Keywords: Russia; Ukraine; war; China; ramifications; economy; trade;
Summary/Abstract: Thirteen months into the war in Ukraine and it is effectively stalemate, although there remains bitter confrontation around the town of Bakhmut as well as an almost daily arrival of missiles or armed drones, although most of these are shot down before they cause harm. Four people were killed in the last foray in the Kyiv surrounds. Putin cannot win the war in this way, which he knows. He has just had a visit from President Xi Jinping of China to show that he still enjoys Xi’s support, except in the form of direct military assistance, which he needs. China is ostensibly trying to broker a peace deal. They are embarrassed by this war; it is affecting China’s trade, not just with Ukraine, but other countries as well, particularly if these nations have sympathy for Ukraine. However, a peace deal usually would require a measure of compromise on behalf of the warring parties. And Ukraine has, with some justification, says that Russia has to withdraw entirely from any Ukrainian lands they have taken. Russia would therefore have no land-take as a result for all the trouble and damage, never mind acts of genocide that some of their troops have perpetrated.

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