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The report analyzes the rapidly developing processes in the changed geostrategic environment, which with the beginning of the new century are being activated, changing and emerging as increasingly contradictory. The ever-increasing geopolitical contradictions, both in the global and regional aspects, which pose a threat to the Bulgarian geo space, are investigated. These processes also affect Bulgaria, as a participant in the international security system. For this reason, clarifying their genesis, driving forces and motives would help to build an adequate vision and behavior of the country in an increasingly complicated geopolitical and geostrategic situation. Constantly increasing security threats, risks and challenges have a significant impact on societal security, which is directly dependent on the development of the war in Ukraine and migration processes in Europe.
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The report examines issues related to the establishment and activities of the National Resistance Front (NFS) in Afghanistan. The organizational structure, leadership and ideological platform of the NFS are indicated, as well as the forms of resistance to the rule of the Taliban Movement (TM). The reasons why the NFS is currently the only opposition force opposing Taliban rule are analyzed as well. The report focuses on the Taliban operations in the north-eastern Afghan provinces against NFS forces, with a focus on Panjshir province.
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Every political-military competition, conflict or war after 2014, already is hybrid. “Hybrid threat” is an umbrella term for the coordinated actions of a coalition of military and nonmilitary, state and nonstate, national and supranational actors in the info-cognitive, diplomatic-political, financial-economic and military spheres, in peace, during the crisis and in war, against the interests of a national state (or a coalition of states). Thestate-backed hybrid threat applies the concept of “smart power” in a destructive manner. “The opposing forces”, through public cognitive manipulations, can achieve a national state deception, can blame another actor/s as a hybrid threat and destabilization source, and to excuse their own actions. The counteraction of a Hybrid threat by disunited societies, societies that difficulty formulate common goals and are not unanimous at threat recognition, is extremely difficult and/or impossible.
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The report presents the results of the review and update of the NATO Lessons Learned System and the organization of the overall capability development process.
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